Friday, October 19, 2007

There isn't much to say about the Seahawks last performance worth remembering. The 0-6 St. Louis Rams come to town, and the Seahawks must win this game or the season could be lost. At 3-4, the Seahawks would still be in the hunt for the division statistically. However, it would be hard to imagine a team losing 3 straight, including one to these Rams, and then circling the wagons. To continue the clichés, it would be more likely that the wheels would fall off.

The Rams aren't just 0-6. They are the lowest scoring team in the NFL with 12.2 points per game. And they are also allowing a 7th worst 26.5 points per game. That is simply awful. Losing at home to those Rams would be embarrassing, demoralizing, and revealing of just how bad this team might be.

I don't think that happens. I think the Seahawks use this game to springboard back into the mix of the top teams in the NFC. The Cardinals will probably lose at Washington with Tim Rattay behind center, so the Seahawks would also be alone in first place in the division going into the bye, and I doubt the 49ers win two in a row, so they will still be alone in first place coming out of the bye.

The Seahawks have the players to win. They just need to play well, and the coaches need to put them in the best position to win. We could debate Xs and Os, or what players need to do what, but the bottom line is that they just need to win.

Sunday, October 14, 2007

The Saints haven't been able to win a game all year, and that should continue on Sunday night. The Seahawks are without their top two wide receivers (Deion Branch and DJ Hackett). Don't worry. Courtney Taylor and Ben Obomanu are very good, and the team still has Bobby Engram and Nate Burleson.

The key is Matt Hasselbeck getting the ball to the open receiver. He is better than he played last week and should be able to get right at Qwest in front of the home crowd. If the Saints keep 8 in the box, then Hasselbeck should have easy pickings; he just needs to execute. The Saints really have a choice between shutting down the pass or the run. I assume they will go the route of the rest of the opponents so far and commit the safeties to stopping Shaun Alexander.

The Seahawks can counter some of that by using draws. A draw is basically the opposite of a play-action pass, and it can divert some of the pressure from the secondary away from the run game. Mack Strong is retired, but he will give the team and crowd a big emotional lift before the kickoff. And it may seem crass to say this, but Leonard Weaver is a better run blocker than Strong has been this year. Old Mack just wasn't the same in that department this season. The concern for Weaver is pass protection.

The Saints offense has been terrible this year, after being so good last season. They are still capable of getting it together, but Deuce McAllister would have been the player to scare the Seahawks. The quick defense should be well-suited to deal with Reggie Bush. Marcus Trufant needs to show he can cover his man without help sometimes. The safeties can't let Bush break the long one if he gets to the second level, so Trufant can't have help all game. The Truf is that Trufant hasn't been very good lately.

The front four needs to get more consistent pressure, but John Marshall needs to learn that you blitz on third-and-long to force a quick, short pass that doesn't go 17 yards for a first down. Doesn't he know that? Has he ever watched a football game before? I'm just saying. Blitz on third-and-long. Don't blitz on third-and-two.

Thursday, October 11, 2007

Injuries and poor performance have prompted the Seahawks to make a few roster moves.

LS Derek Rackley was released for poor performance, and replaced with LS Boone Stutz. This is the second time in as many years that Rackley has been let go in favor of Stutz. It happened in Atlanta last year before the start of the season.

T Kyle Williams earned a spot on the practice squad when T/G Ray Willis went down with a knee injury. He should keep his place at least until Willis returns.

The Seahawks lost FB Mack Strong and RB Alvin Pearman for the season. The team will now lean heavily on FB Leonard Weaver. Weaver is a decent runner and run-blocker. The concern is his pass protection. That is probably the motivation behind adding 35-year-old Fred McCrary, instead of someone like Josh Parry.

CB Kevin Hobbs has been elevated from the practice squad to the active roster with Josh Wilson nursing an ankle injury. As soon as Wilson is healthy, Hobbs should be back on the practice squad (likely at the cost of LB Cameron Jensen).

When Hobbs goes back to the practice squad, the Seahawks should look to add another running back that can contribute on special teams and get some carries if need be.
What happened in Pittsburgh? It was a disaster. The team lost Mack Strong for the season (and his career) and was completely embarrassed on the field. The defense played well in the first half, but blew it by allowing a long drive at the start of the second half. Can't blame that on being tired.

Marcus Trufant had a terrible game. He has fallen down a few times this year because he was trying to adjust after getting out of position. The result has been touchdowns for the other team. Trufant plays at a Pro Bowl level sometimes, but he needs to be able to cover Health Miller one-on-one if he wants to be a starter in the NFL.

Shaun Alexander is catching a lot of flack from fans, but he isn't the problem. Opposing defenses have decided to flood the box and focus on the run. The same thing is happening to Larry Johnson, Frank Gore, and LaDanian Tomlinson. Don't look now, but Shaun Alexander has more yards and a higher ypc average than all of them, even after his 11 carry, 25 yard performance.

The problem with the Seahawks offense is two-fold. First, the offensive line needs to do a better job with their run-blocking assignments. You can't open holes with extra defenders if you aren't even blocking the correct defensive linemen. Second, if defenses are going to bail out on pass coverage and bring the safeties up to the line of scrimmage, then Matt Hasselbeck needs to hit the open receivers.

If any single person deserves the blame for the loss in Pittsburgh, it is Matt Hasselbeck. Defenses are daring him to beat them, and he either can or can't. He couldn't against the Steelers. Hasselbeck is getting the Damon Huard/Brodie Croyle, Alex Smith/Trent Dilfer, and Philip Rivers treatment. He is better than those players and needs to show it for the team to win.
I am the reason why the Seahawks have two losses. The evidence? I was out of the state for both of the losses, and unable to post anything leading up to the games, or watch them live. I actually left Cannon Beach at 7am last Sunday to drive back and catch the game in Tacoma (where it was being TiVo-ed for me, so I didn't have to make it all the way back to Kirkland). I missed the Arizona game completely and watched it just before the Cincinnati game.

Don't fear. I will be around for the rest of the games with previews on Thursdays and recaps on Mondays with additional information at times throughout the week. My travel schedule has calmed down, and I have some more free time to spend here. Unfortunately, sometimes my fiance, family (my sister's wedding) and jobs that I get paid for have to come first.
A new Seahawks Forum has been created called NWSportsTalk.com. It promises to be a better forum than the one filled with morans (including the moderators) over at the Seattle Times (the misspelling of morons is intentional for anyone unfamiliar with that forum).

NWSportsTalk.com is your place to talk about Pacific Northwest Sports with other people across the northwest and the world! The forum is open to any type of sports talk. Seahawks, Sonics, Mariners, Blazers, Huskies, Cougars, Ducks, Beavers, Broncos, they are all here! Also talk about high school sports as well!

Saturday, September 29, 2007

Winning on the road within the division is never easy. Even in 2005, when the Seahawks went 6-0 in the division, they barely held on to beat a Ken Dorsey led 49ers team, 27-25. That being said, the Seahawks should handle their business on Sunday.

Alex Smith is atrocious. He wasn't very good last year with 5 more turnovers than touchdowns, and he is already -2 in that department through 2 games. He seems to be able to throw about as many touchdowns as interceptions (a big improvement over his rookie year), but that isn't any big achievement and he still manages to lose fumbles on a regular basis. Losing his tight end (Vernon Davis is out with a sprained MCL) will hurt him even more. The Seahawks defense should be able to crowd the box, stuff Frank Gore, and force Alex Smith to beat them. Don't worry, he can't.

The Seahawks will likely face a lot of nickel. That is actually a good personnel grouping for the 49ers. They can get Keith Lewis in the game with Mark Roman and Michael Lewis. The 49ers will run a 3-3-5. The problem with that is the safeties are suited to play the run. Even though it will be essentially a nickel package for much of the game, the Seahawks should be able to pass against that defense. If Holmgren allows Branch and Burleson to run deep routes, then Hasselbeck is looking at a 3-TD game.

Nate Clements is good against the run. Lewis and Lewis, and Roman are as well. So look for the wideouts to stretch the defense. Nolan will probably adjust, and Alexander should go for 100 yards in the second half alone. If Mike Holmgren is worth his salt as an offensive guru, the 'Hawks should have no problem finding paydirt at least 4 times. The 49ers will play a nickel that is strong against the run. Answer: pass. Then they will play 3 CBs and over pursue the pass. Solution: run Alexander or Strong on draws.

I normally hate the way Holmgren relies on the draw, but that play alone should eat up plenty of yards and go for at least one TD on Sunday.

Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Sorry to anyone that has been checking here regularly just to see the same old posts. I was out of town from September 12th until September 22nd, and I didn't think it was the best idea to publicize that ahead of time.

I was back in time to go to the Bengals game, and I have been catching up on other responsibilities the last 3 days. I will weigh in tomorrow with some general thoughts on the last two weeks, and then the upcoming game against the 49ers.

I have mixed feelings about the Seahawks season so far, but I am still confident they will win the division and make a run at the Super Bowl. If they lose to a putrid 49ers team, then that outlook might change, depending on the circumstances.

Tuesday, September 11, 2007

The Seahawks have traded DE Bryce Fisher to Mike Reinfeldt and the Tennessee Titans for a draft pick. In a separate move, the Seahawks acquired QB Charlie Frye from the Cleveland Browns for a draft pick.

Fisher lost his starting spot to Darryl Tapp, and the Seahawks recently added DE Jason Babin, as well as DT Ellis Wyms (who can play on the outside as well). $2.4 million is a lot of money to pay an aging defensive end that is slipping down the depth chart. Fisher is scheduled to make a total of $5 million over the next two years (including this season).

Charlie Frye's numbers are not representative of how well he has played for a terrible Cleveland team. Frye is only in his third year, but has already started 19 games. He gives the Seahawks a legitimate 3rd QB. The roster finally looks normal with 9 defensive linemen and 3 quarterbacks.

Offense (26)
QB (3) - Matt Hasselbeck, Seneca Wallace, Charlie Frye
HB/FB (5) - Shaun Alexander, Maurice Morris, Alvin Pearman, Mack Strong, Leonard Weaver
WR (6) - Deion Branch, DJ Hackett, Nate Burleson, Bobby Engram, Ben Obomanu, Courtney Taylor
TE (3) - Marcus Pollard, Will Heller, Bennie Joppru
OL (9) - Walter Jones, Sean Locklear, Chris Spencer, Rob Sims, Chris Gray, Ray Willis, Tom Ashworth, Mansfield Wrotto, Floyd Womack

Defense (24)
DE (4) - Patrick Kerney, Darryl Tapp, Baraka Atkins, Jason Babin
DT (5) - Rocky Bernard, Chuck Darby, Brandon Mebane, Ellis Wyms, Craig Terrill
OLB (5) - Julian Peterson, Leroy Hill, Kevin Bentley, Lance Laury, Will Herring
MLB (2) - Lofa Tatupu, Niko Koutouvides
S (4) - Deon Grant, Brian Russell, Mike Green, C.J. Wallace
CB (4) - Marcus Trufant, Kelly Jennings, Josh Wilson, Jordan Babineaux

Special Teams (3)
K - Josh Brown
P - Ryan Plackemeier
LS - Derek Rackley

Sunday, September 9, 2007

Imagine an older, less talented Seahawks team, and you basically get the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. There is more to it than that, but it is a pretty fair statement. The Seahawks are lucky to play the Bucs in Week 1. Tampa Bay is likely to get better as the year goes on.

When Tampa Bay has the ball:
The key to the Seahawks home opener is the Tampa Bay offensive line. In 2005, an unremarkable group played consistently for them. Last year, that group fell apart. Jeff Garcia could be a nice addition for the Bucs, but only if he has time to throw. He failed in Cleveland and Detroit because, among other reasons, the offensive lines were terrible. Garcia succeeded with the Eagles because he was able to stay off his back.

Tampa Bay will start their first two picks from each of the last two drafts. Three of those are on the offensive line (LG Arron Sears, RG Davin Joseph, RT Jeremy Trueblood). The Bucs also have a new starter at left tackle (Luke Petitgout). Petitgout is coming off a broken leg and was slowed this offseason with back trouble. That unit could eventually be pretty good this season, but it would be a stretch to think they will come out of the gates hitting on all cylinders.

Garcia will look for Joey Galloway often. Even at age 35, Galloway is one of the fastest players in the NFL on Sundays. Jon Gruden will run a lot of quick slants to give Garcia an outlet if the offensive line breaks down. Galloway has the wheels to turns those five yard passes into 50 yard touchdowns. The rest of the Bucs receivers are big and slow. Maurice Stovall will probably start, but David Boston and Michael Clayton are more talented and quicker.

Tampa needs to keep it a low-scoring affair and play from ahead, or else they will struggle with the pass rush and Garcia might not finish the game. The offensive line will again be key in opening holes for Cadillac Williams. The Seahawks defensive line should be good enough to allow the linebackers to hit the gaps and plug the holes. Williams isn’t a big threat to the outside, but the Seahawks can’t get sucked up on a run blitz. He can still take off-tackle left to the house.

Note: Jon Gruden says Jerramy Stevens will play.

When Seattle has the ball:
The Tampa Bay defense is old, but it is getting better and younger in spots. DE Simeon Rice and DT Ellis Wyms are gone. DE Gaines Adams is a very nice player, but he probably isn’t going to be better than Simeon Rice in his first NFL game.

The linebacking corps should also be improved with former Pro Bowlers Cato June and Jeremiah Trotter on the team. Trotter might not make much of an impact. He is probably ready to play physically, but he isn’t ready to quarterback the defense from the middle linebacker position. He has been with the team for about a week.

Shaun Alexander should be able to run up the middle of that defense without too much trouble. Getting to the outside will be more difficult. The Seahawks will be able to run the ball with some success, but the short passing game will be key. Cato June has a knack for slipping back into coverage and getting picks. He has 8 interceptions over the last two years, which is a lot for a linebacker. Rhonde Barber is also a ballhawk, and he hides in coverage. If the Seahawks establish the run and complete a few short passes early, then Matt Hasselbeck should be able to hit a few homeruns off play action.

Only the Washington Redskins allowed more passing touchdowns than Tampa Bay last year. Rhonde Barber is overrated. He gets interceptions and makes big hits and tackles, but he isn’t the greatest cover guy. The rest of the secondary is worse. If the offensive line can give Hasselbeck time to throw, then he should rack up a really nice game. Three touchdowns is very achievable.
Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans (-3). Texans to win. Texans to cover.
Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills (+3). Broncos to win. Broncos to cover.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (+5). Steelers to win. Browns to cover.
Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars (-7). Jaguars to win. Titans to cover.
Carolina Panthers at St.Louis Rams (-1.5). Rams to win. Rams to cover.
Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers (+3). Eagles to win. Eagles to cover.
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings (-3). Vikings to win. Vikings to cover.
Miami Dolphins at Washington Redskins (-3). Dolphins to win.
New England Patriots at New York Jets (+6). Jets to win.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks (-6). Seahawks to win. Seahawks to cover.
Chicago Bears at San Diego Chargers (-6.5). Chargers to win. Bears to cover.
Detroit Lions at Oakland Raiders (-2.5). Lions to win.
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-6). Cowboys to win. Cowboys to cover.
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5). Bengals to win. Bengals to cover.
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-3). Cardinals to win.

Thursday, September 6, 2007

New Orleans Saints at Indianapolis Colts (-6). Colts to win. Colts to cover.

Tuesday, September 4, 2007

Current versions of the full Seahawks 34-Category Roster and the easy-to-print Seahawks Numerical Roster are available. The rosters include all of the latest roster moves (cuts and trades) and current injuries.

Sunday, September 2, 2007

Scouting report according to Scouts, Inc:
Ellis Wyms, left, and Chuck Darby.
Photo: Jim Damaske/St. Petersburg Times.
Wyms is very active, intelligent and fairly athletic. He is versatile enough to play some end in certain situations. He comes off the ball low and very quickly. He takes good angles and plays hard. He can change directions smoothly in space and close on elusive running backs. He is a decent interior pass rusher. He delivers some pop on impact, can unload his hips and has some explosive qualities as a tackler. But Wyms is undersized and prone to wearing down. He is a productive wave tackle and short-yardage end, but he won't hold up to an every-down pounding. He crumbles against double teams. He isn't an athletic, quick-twitch playmaker who can move to end full time. His durability is a major concern with Wyms now as well, as he has only played all 16 games just once in his career.
Scott Audette/Associated Press
The Seahawks signed DT Ellis Wyms in response to the loss of Marcus Tubbs. The Seahawks released DT Russell Davis to make room. That means the team is still carrying only 5 DTs, as well as 5 DEs with the addition of DE Jason Babin.

Ellis Wims has played in 66 games with 9 starts in his six year NFL career, including 8 starts in 13 games last year. Wims finished the year with 5 sacks and 30 tackles. Wyms was scheduled to make $3.9 million this season with Tampa Bay. His agreement with Seattle has not been disclosed, but it is for one year, and will be considerably less.

Russell Davis had $800,000 remaining on his signing bonus which will be a cap hit this year. The team does not have to pay Davis his $1.1 million salary.
LB Cameron Jensen, FB David Kirtman, TE Joe Newton, OG Steve Vallos, DE Nu'u Tafisi, CB Kevin Hobbs, WR Logan Payne, WR Jordan Kent

It looks like my first take (before the release of David Greene) was dead-on:
LB Cameron Jensen, FB David Kirtman, TE Joe Newton, OG Steve Vallos, DE Nu'u Tafisi, CB Kevin Hobbs, C Pat Ross, WR Logan Payne

I think the first six are pretty solid. Pat Ross might not make it depending on the severity of his injury. If he doesn't then I would expect it to come down to WR Joe Fernandez, WR Jordan Kent, or OT Kyle Williams.
That almost certainly means the Seahawks will make some other move to bring in a third QB. The team could even be dangling David Greene until a spot opens back up on the roster or a QB suffers an injury.

Saturday, September 1, 2007

Scouting report according to Scouts, Inc:.
Reuters Photo
Pearman is athletic and runs with good body control and balance. He is competitive and tough. His running style is more quick than fast. He has the vision and instincts to set up his blocks. He is at his best on draws and stretch plays, weaving through traffic and finding a run lane. He is a skilled receiver with good hands. He excels on screens and short dump-offs. He is an aggressive pass blocker who will step up and explode into defenders. He has return ability on both kickoffs and punts. But Pearman is a little small and needs a seam to be productive. He has the lateral quickness to avoid but lacks the speed to separate from defenders in space. He has speed to turn the corner but lacks home run ability. He has trouble matching up as a blocker against bigger defenders.
Pearman was acquired and David Greene was released.
Offense (25)
QB (2) - Matt Hasselbeck, Seneca Wallace
HB/FB (5) - Shaun Alexander, Maurice Morris, Alvin Pearman, Mack Strong, Leonard Weaver
WR (6) - Deion Branch, DJ Hackett, Nate Burleson, Bobby Engram, Ben Obomanu, Courtney Taylor
TE (3) - Marcus Pollard, Will Heller, Bennie Joppru
OL (9) - Walter Jones, Sean Locklear, Chris Spencer, Rob Sims, Chris Gray, Ray Willis, Tom Ashworth, Mansfield Wrotto, Floyd Womack

Defense (25)
DE (5) - Patrick Kerney, Bryce Fisher, Darryl Tapp, Baraka Atkins, Jason Babin
DT (5) - Rocky Bernard, Chuck Darby, Brandon Mebane, Russell Davis, Craig Terrill
OLB (5) - Julian Peterson, Leroy Hill, Kevin Bentley, Lance Laury, Will Herring
MLB (2) - Lofa Tatupu, Niko Koutouvides
S (4) - Deon Grant, Brian Russell, Mike Green, C.J. Wallace
CB (4) - Marcus Trufant, Kelly Jennings, Josh Wilson, Jordan Babineaux

Special Teams (3)
K - Josh Brown
P - Ryan Plackemeier
LS - Derek Rackley

The Seahawks remedied the 4 runningbacks by adding Alvin Pearman, at the cost of David Greene. I guess that makes Brian Russell the emergency QB for the time being.
Scouting report from Scouts, Inc.
Photo: Billy Calzada
Babin has good speed, quickness and a nonstop motor. He has some functional strength and flashes the ability to stack and hold the point of attack. He is relentless in pursuit and chases down plenty of plays from the back side. He is a strong tackler. He relies on speed and quickness as a pass rusher. He has an explosive first step off the edge and can bend and close on quarterbacks. He has the active hands to reduce his blocking surface and the quickness to get on the edge of a blocker. But Babin lacks ideal power, athleticism and technique. He has struggled in his conversion from a college defensive end. He often has seemed uncertain when reacting to blocking patterns. He struggles to set the edge against outside runs. He has trouble disengaging from blocks. He has limited pass-rush countermoves and needs more refinement. He is a straight-line coverage player who has marginal lateral quickness and change-of-direction skills. He doesn't play with a lot of awareness or recognition in zones.
He may benefit quite a bit moving from 3-4 OLB back to 4-3 DE.
Offense (25)
QB (3) - Matt Hasselbeck, Seneca Wallace, David Greene
HB/FB (4) - Shaun Alexander, Maurice Morris, Mack Strong, Leonard Weaver
WR (6) - Deion Branch, DJ Hackett, Nate Burleson, Bobby Engram, Ben Obomanu, Courtney Taylor
TE (3) - Marcus Pollard, Will Heller, Bennie Joppru
OL (9) - Walter Jones, Sean Locklear, Chris Spencer, Rob Sims, Chris Gray, Ray Willis, Tom Ashworth, Mansfield Wrotto, Floyd Womack

Defense (25)
DE (5) - Patrick Kerney, Bryce Fisher, Darryl Tapp, Baraka Atkins, Jason Babin
DT (5) - Rocky Bernard, Chuck Darby, Brandon Mebane, Russell Davis, Craig Terrill
OLB (5) - Julian Peterson, Leroy Hill, Kevin Bentley, Lance Laury, Will Herring
MLB (2) - Lofa Tatupu, Niko Koutouvides
S (4) - Deon Grant, Brian Russell, Mike Green, C.J. Wallace
CB (4) - Marcus Trufant, Kelly Jennings, Josh Wilson, Jordan Babineaux

Special Teams (3)
K - Josh Brown
P - Ryan Plackemeier
LS - Derek Rackley

It appears the trade of Michael Boulware for Jason Babin led to the team keeping 5 defensive ends. It also gave C.J. Wallace a spot on the roster, and he will fill Josh Parry's role on special teams (as oppossed to Herring's as I had guessed), allowing the team to go with only 4 running backs. 52 of 53 ain't bad.

My guess for the practice squad is:
LB Cameron Jensen, FB David Kirtman, TE Joe Newton, OG Steve Vallos, DE Nu'u Tafisi, CB Kevin Hobbs, C Pat Ross, WR Logan Payne

I think the first six are pretty solid. Pat Ross might not make it depending on the severity of his injury. If he doesn't then I would expect it to come down to WR Joe Fernandez, WR Jordan Kent, or OT Kyle Williams. Kent or Fernandez could also easily be on there instead of Payne.

Players cuts: CB Omowale Dada, QB Derek Devine, WR Joe Fernandez, DE Brandon Green, DT Marcus Green, CB DeJuan Groce, CB Kevin Hobbs, CB Pete Hunter, LB Cameron Jensen, WR Jordan Kent, FB David Kirtman, TE Joe Newton, FB Josh Parry, WR Logan Payne, C Pat Ross, TE Leonard Stephens, DE Nu'u Tafisi, DT Eric Taylor, G Steve Vallos, RB Marquis Weeks, T Kyle Williams (Marcus Tubbs was placed on IR).
Texans trade Babin to Seattle for Boulware By John McClain:
Injuries forced general manager Rick Smith and coach Gary Kubiak to be in the market to acquire a veteran safety, and Saturday afternoon, they traded defensive end Jason Babin to Seattle for strong safety Michael Boulware.

Babin, a first-round pick in 2004, had two sacks in preseason and a team-leading five in 2006. The Seahawks want him to improve their pass rush.

Boulware, a second-round pick in 2004, started 10 games last season, including two in the playoffs. The Texans want him to upgrade a position vacated when Glenn Earl suffered a season-ending foot injury early in camp and currently manned by Jason Simmons, who is more valuable as a backup.
This move was likely in response to the excellent play of C.J. Wallace. Boulware had too much value just to cut, so the Seahawks got something in return. It looks like C.J. Wallace will make the team, and that could mean no Courtney Taylor. Or more likely the writing is on the wall for Craig Terrill or Will Herring. Wallace can fill Herring's role on special teams.

Someone commented below that Josh Parry was cut. Perhaps that person knows Parry. If that is true, then I would imagine his spot went to Marquis Weeks or David Kirtman. I would lean toward Kirtman, but he is practice squad eligible, so that could swing things in favor of Weeks.

A final guess:
Offense (26)
QB (3) - Matt Hasselbeck, Seneca Wallace, David Greene
HB/FB (5) - Shaun Alexander, Maurice Morris, Mack Strong, Leonard Weaver, Marquis Weeks
WR (6) - Deion Branch, DJ Hackett, Nate Burleson, Bobby Engram, Ben Obomanu, Courtney Taylor
TE (3) - Marcus Pollard, Will Heller, Bennie Joppru
OL (9) - Walter Jones, Sean Locklear, Chris Spencer, Rob Sims, Chris Gray, Ray Willis, Tom Ashworth, Mansfield Wrotto, Floyd Womack

Defense (24)
DE (5) - Patrick Kerney, Bryce Fisher, Darryl Tapp, Baraka Atkins, Jason Babin
DT (5) - Rocky Bernard, Chuck Darby, Brandon Mebane, Russell Davis, Craig Terrill
OLB (4) - Julian Peterson, Leroy Hill, Kevin Bentley, Lance Laury
MLB (2) - Lofa Tatupu, Niko Koutouvides
S (4) - Deon Grant, Brian Russell, Mike Green, C.J. Wallace
CB (4) - Marcus Trufant, Kelly Jennings, Josh Wilson, Jordan Babineaux

Special Teams (3)
K - Josh Brown
P - Ryan Plackemeier
LS - Derek Rackley

Friday, August 31, 2007

Update: Marcus Tubbs is out for the year with a torn ACL per Clare Farnsworth.

Andy Rogers/Seattle Post-Intelligencer
It is a little hard to make sense of the roster given the untimely injury to Marcus Tubbs, as well as a few other injuries. With Tubbs out for the year, it frees up a roster spot for Courtney Taylor, C.J. Wallace, or Marquis Weeks. My best guess is that spot goes to Courtney Taylor, but that isn't certain by any means.

The other players with the greatest uncertainty are Josh Parry, Will Herring, and Michael Boulware. Parry could lose his spot to either David Kirtman or Marquis Weeks. I am sticking with Parry because I believe his contributions on specials teams are more valuable than what Weeks brings to the offense. I give him the slight edge on Kirtman because of his ability at fullback and his experience, plus Kirtman can be put on the practice squad.

Will Herring is the linebacker most in danger of losing his roster spot. If he does, then he could land on the practice squad. If the team does go with only 6 LBs with Herring and Jensen both on the practice squad, then that extra spot goes to Courtney Taylor, C.J. Wallace, or Marquis Weeks. Combined with the injury to Tubbs, that means two of those players would make the team. I'll guess Taylor and Wallace in that scenario.

It is hard to imagine that Michael Boulware doesn't have a spot on the roster. It is possible that C.J. Wallace has earned that spot. The injury to Boulware makes it even more complicated to sort out. More likely would be that Wallace gets a spot because of the injury to Tubbs and/or at the expense of Will Herring.

So, it really comes down to the 53 players listed below with the chance that C.J. Wallace or Marquis Weeks might make the roster, and Will Herring, Josh Parry, or Michael Boulware might not. David Kirtman is the other player in consideration, but only for Josh Parry's spot. And I expect David Greene to be replaced as soon they can acquire someone better.

Offense (26)
QB (3) - Matt Hasselbeck, Seneca Wallace, David Greene
HB/FB (5) - Shaun Alexander, Maurice Morris, Mack Strong, Leonard Weaver, Josh Parry
WR (6) - Deion Branch, DJ Hackett, Nate Burleson, Bobby Engram, Ben Obomanu, Courtney Taylor
TE (3) - Marcus Pollard, Will Heller, Bennie Joppru
OL (9) - Walter Jones, Sean Locklear, Chris Spencer, Rob Sims, Chris Gray, Ray Willis, Tom Ashworth, Mansfield Wrotto, Floyd Womack
=> Read more!:

Defense (24)
DE (4) - Patrick Kerney, Bryce Fisher, Darryl Tapp, Baraka Atkins
DT (5) - Rocky Bernard, Chuck Darby, Brandon Mebane, Russell Davis, Craig Terrill
OLB (5) - Julian Peterson, Leroy Hill, Kevin Bentley, Lance Laury, Will Herring
MLB (2) - Lofa Tatupu, Niko Koutouvides
S (4) - Deon Grant, Brian Russell, Mike Green, Michael Boulware
CB (4) - Marcus Trufant, Kelly Jennings, Josh Wilson, Jordan Babineaux

Special Teams (3)
K - Josh Brown
P - Ryan Plackemeier
LS - Derek Rackley

Given that roster, here is a guess at the practice squad. Obviously a space opens up if C.J. Wallace or David Kirtman get elevated to the active roster at the cost of a non-practice squad eligible player. I am assuming the injury to Pat Ross will land him on IR, or at least cost him his practice squad spot for the time being.

Practice Squad:
S C.J. Wallace, LB Cameron Jensen, FB David Kirtman, TE Joe Newton, OG Steve Vallos, DE Nu'u Tafisi, CB Kevin Hobbs, WR Logan Payne

The following players are the other legitimate options for the practice squad:
WR Joe Fernandez, WR Jordan Kent, OT Kyle Williams (Fernandez or Kent would probably only make in place of, rather than in addition to Logan Payne)

Just Missed (not PS-eligble):
RB Marquis Weeks, CB Pete Hunter
This game was kind of a mess with a hodge-podge of backups on the field all game, and a few unsettling injuries. It looks like Marcus Tubbs and Pat Ross suffered the only serious injuries. Josh Wilson and Chris Spencer should be fine for the opener.

AP Photo/John Froschauer
In addition to the items below, the outstanding play of C.J. Wallace obviously stood out. It is hard to know if he did enough to bump Michael Boulware from the roster, especially with Boulware sitting out with a strained hamstring. Probably not, but maybe. Wallace made a lot of great plays. He was also responsible for the back-to-back receptions that led to Oakland's only offensive touchdown. Regardless, it is going to be hard to cut C.J. Wallace. He definitely has a spot on at least the practice squad, and he will make the team if they can figure out a way to work the numbers.

(This is a follow-up to What to Watch For: Raiders vs. Seahawks)
1) Seneca Wallace
AP Photo/Kevin P. Casey
Seneca Wallace played almost the entire game, and he struggled again. For those keeping score, Wallace has played a little under six full halves of football this preseason and has six turnovers. Not good. It capped a mediocre preseason for Wallace: 40 of 73 (54.8%) for 543 yards with 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions (75.3 rating), and 3 lost fumbles. He has also been sacked 5 times. Some of Wallace's struggles can be explained away by throwing to young receivers and playing behind some suspect play on the offensive line. However, it is those young receivers he has looked best throwing to in the second half of the San Diego and Minnesota games.

2) Linebackers
Niko Koutouvides assured everyone that his place on the Seahawks roster is completely secure. Cameron Jensen also had a nice showing, and that makes him a lock for the practice squad. The strong showing for Jensen could be bad news for Will Herring. It could allow the Seahawks to put Will Herring and Cameron Jensen on the practice squad, and only keep 6 linebackers on the active roster, and not worry too much if another team picks up Herring. Herring's contributions on special teams can't be ignored, which probably still earn him a roster spot.

3) Craig Terrill and Russell Davis
Craig Terrill made a nice stop on 4th-and-1 early in the game. Russell Davis pressured the quarterback a few times and played a big role in stuffing the run. He has had an excellent preseason. Both players should make the team, even if Marcus Tubbs isn't placed on IR. The assumption is that Tubbs will miss the season, but if he doesn't and is going to miss a month or so, then the Seahawks will carry 6 DTs for the foreseeable future.

4) Josh Wilson and the 5th CB
Josh Wilson didn't have a great night. He was flattened by two stiff-arms trying to make open-field tackles. His coverage was only mediocre. It looks like he will have to improve to get much playing time. Jordan Babineaux is expected to be ready for the season and play in the nickel. Wilson also injured his hip, but should be available for the season opener. Pete Hunter looks like the 5th best CB. He made some nice plays. Unfortunately, there isn't room for 5 CBs on the roster and he isn't eligible for the practice squad. He will be the first person the Seahawks call if they need an extra CB at some point during the season, assuming he doesn’t sign with another team.
=> Read more!:
5) Tight Ends
Ben Joppru didn't play, but I assume that means he has the #3 spot locked up, and they were just resting his hip. Leonard Stephens may have played himself right off the practice squad with 3 penalties. Joe Newton made some nice blocks and a nice catch. It was probably enough to earn him a spot on the practice squad ahead of Stephens.

6) Wide Receiver Battles
Nate Burleson will likely have his name announced with the starting lineup on September 9th. D.J. Hackett will still get on the field, and whoever is making more plays will get more playing time. That is how it will be all season, but you can’t ignore how great Burleson has looked.

Courtney Taylor showed a little of why I have been so high on him despite his injury. It would be hard to give him a roster spot, but Mike Holmgren would probably prefer to keep six receivers. The minor injury to Ben Obomanu and the assumed roster spot opened up by the injury to Marcus Tubbs might make that a possibility.

Joe Fernandez had a great game. He may have moved ahead of Logan Payne on the depth chart. He did only have one catch though, and was returning kicks because Obomanu was injured. It still comes down to Payne, Fernandez, and Jordan Kent for the final spot. Payne has been the most consistent throughout camp. Fernandez showed a lot of heart last night, and that he could contribute as a return man. Kent is tall and fast, but can't catch, and makes too many mistakes. There might not be a space for any of them, even on the practice squad. The injury to Pat Ross might have cleared a spot.

7) Fullbacks
AP Photo/Kevin P. Casey
Leonard Weaver locked up his spot as the backup fullback and #3 primary ball carrier. It is unclear what that means for Marquis Weeks, Josh Parry, and David Kirtman. Josh Parry and David Kirtman rarely lines up on offense, but their primary role with the team is going to be on special teams. They both play well there. Parry can also play fullback just fine and the team knows that. He probably gets the nod over Kirtman, especially because they can stash Kirtman on the practice squad again. Weeks has been a solid runner again this preseason, but he doesn't do much on special teams. You can't give a roster spot to a guy if he is only going to be the fourth option as a primary ball carrier.

8) Derek Devine and David Greene
I had a feeling the Seahawks weren't seriously considering Derek Devine as the #3 QB, and that should now be obvious to everyone. It doesn't look like they are even considering a scenario where they keep Devine on the practice squad and only go with two on the active roster. For better or worse, David Greene is the third string QB until the Seahawks can acquire someone better.

They have tried with Kelly Holcomb and Mark Brunell. It seems likely that Greene will make the final cut, but then get released in favor of someone cut from another team if no trade happens today. It would risky to cut Greene before they were assured of getting someone else. They could dangle Greene on waivers, assuming nobody else wants him, and then scoop him back up if nothing better opens up. That might be too risky.

Wednesday, August 29, 2007

Current versions of the easy-to-print Seahawks Numerical Roster (split into offense and defense) and the full Seahawks 35-Category Roster (now including practice squad eligibility) are available, and include the latest roster moves and current injuries.


1) Seneca Wallace
Dan DeLong/Seattle Post-Intelligencer
Seneca Wallace (15) has been getting a lot of reps this week in practice, so we should expect to see a large dose of him on Thursday night. Wallace has had an up-and-down preseason. In his two appearances in the first half he is a combined 8 of 20 (40%) for 140 yards with 1 interception, and no touchdowns. That gives him a passer rating of 44.8, which doesn’t even take into account his 3 lost fumbles. In his two second half appearances, he is a combined 20 of 27 (74%) for 222 yards with 2 touchdowns and no turnovers (123.8 passer rating). Wallace will likely play most of the first half against the Raiders, and it gives him a chance to put together a good half against the starters on a pretty solid defense.

2) Linebackers
Julian Peterson (sore knee) will not play, and it is likely Leroy Hill (hamstring) will sit out or only play sparingly. That means a lot of time for the other linebackers. There has been a lot of fuss about Mike Holmgren saying he envisions the team keeping 6 linebackers, but I still don't believe him. If that does turn out to be the case, it will be Lance Laury (50), Will Herring (54), or Niko Koutouvides (53) that gets left off the Seahawks opening day roster.

3) Craig Terrill and Russell Davis
I would believe Mike Holmgren if he said the team was only going to keep 5 DTs. That is going to be a difficult decision, and it comes down to Craig Terrill (93) and Russell Davis (95) for the final spot. The team appears fairly certain to keep only 4 DEs, so 6 DTs is a possibility. That is basically what they did last year when they kept Chris Cooper as the 10th defensive lineman. Although he is listed as a DE, he lined up at DT almost exclusively during training camp. But Cooper only stayed on the roster until September 23rd. The uncertain status of Marcus Tubbs might cause the team to go with 6 DTs for at least the first part of the year, and longer if injuries provide an open roster spot. Marcus Tubbs, Chuck Darby and Rocky Bernard will not see much action, giving these guys a chance to battle it out.

4) Josh Wilson and the 5th CB
Josh Wilson (26) could take another big step forward on Thursday night. He will start opposite Marcus Trufant (23) with Kelly Jennings (bruised leg out. Chances are, Wilson will start at some point during this season, so this is a great chance for him to show he is up to the task.

Kelly Jennings and Jordan Babineaux should be ready when the regular season begins. That would mean the team does not need to carry a 5th CB. It still isn’t a bad idea to watch how the team uses Kevin Hobbs (32), Pete Hunter (29), and DeJuan Groce (35). Hobbs has typically been the last one off the bench in that group, but he might have earned more playing time with solid play lately (in practice and against the Vikings). If the team is certain about the readiness of Jennings and Babineaux, then Hobbs could get an extended look because he figures to be competing for a spot on the practice squad.
=> Read more!:

5) Tight Ends
Will Heller (85) will be back in action for the first time in quite awhile. Ben Joppru (47) has the #3 job locked up as long as he doesn’t get injured. Leonard Stephens (89) could’ve had something to say about that, but he is just back from his ankle injury and missed too much time. That would have been an interesting battle to watch. However, this is the first time they will both be on the field, since halfway through the intrasquad scrimmage on August 4th. Both looked good when the other was out.

Stephens should have another year of practice squad eligibility, which would give the team a solid backup plan if Joppru’s penchant for injuries returns. Joe Newton (46) has a chance to make the practice squad if Stephens is somehow ineligible, or Newton shows enough that the team thinks going with a younger player that can spend two or three years on the practice squad is a better idea. The amount of playing time (and their performance while in there) of Newton and Stephens should offer some insight into that.

6) Wide Receiver Battles
Nate Burleson (81) and D.J. Hackett (18) are still battling for the starting split end spot. It is somewhat irrelevant because they will both play a lot, and whoever is making more plays will get more playing time. Hackett shined earlier in training camp, Burleson has been great as of late. They have both been solid all camp.

The real battle is for 6th and 7th on the depth chart. The Seahawks will probably keep a total of 7 receivers between the active roster and the practice squad. Courtney Taylor (86) and Logan Payne (19) look like the two guys most likely to get those last two spots. Joe Fernandez (17) has also played well at times, but hasn't looked as sharp lately, and he is only 5'10", 165 lbs. Jordan Kent (82) is the worst receiver left on the roster, but he still has a shot at a practice squad spot. Kent makes sense as a long-term project, but more importantly, he gives the defense someone big and fast to practice against. That function might make him more appealing than Logan Payne or Joe Fernandez. It is unlikely Ben Obomanu will play, so all of these guys should get more playing time.

7) Fullbacks
Leonard Weaver (43) has struggled with a few things lately, but his spot on the team should be safe. He just might not have as expansive of a role as the team once envisioned. The more interesting battle could be between Josh Parry (49) and David Kirtman (34). Weaver has been getting so many reps that we really haven’t seen much of either of them on offense. They both play on all of the special teams units, and Kirtman has been playing well as of late. Marquis Weeks (30) could also earn a spot as the 3rd HB. That seems unlikely because he is not as good on special teams as Parry or Kirtman, he isn't a blocking dynamo, and he would be the fourth option as a ball carrier behind Leonard Weaver.

8) Derek Devine and David Greene
If the Seahawks are seriously considering Derek Devine for a spot on the roster, then he should play a full half. Devine (5) has to show that he not only has the physical tools, but that he can lead a team. It is pretty tough to do that in one quarter. David Greene (11) might start the second half. If that is the case, then we might not see Devine at all until the very end of the game for a pass or two and a couple of handoffs. It really depends on how Greene plays. I am certain the Seahawks would like to have someone more reliable than David Greene as the #3 QB. I am not certain if they think Derek Devine has any chance to be that guy, this year.

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

August will be over by the end of the week. There are 11 days between today and Sunday, September 9th, when the Seahawks host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to start the regular season. And the NFL season kicks off a week from Thursday.

What does that mean? It means it is time to switch gears from roster minutia to things that matter a lot more than if someone gets cut, makes the practice squad, or winds up as the 9th DB on the active roster. That kind of speculation keeps Seahawks fans occupied leading up to the season, but the real thing is almost here and the players that are actually going to play are more important. Mike Holmgren and the coaching staff always think about those things more than anything else.

Can Matt Hasselbeck bounce back to 2005 form and avoid bad decisions? Are his shoulder and knee ready to take the beating of an entire regular season? These questions are a lot more important than whether David Greene or Derek Devine will be the emergency quarterback.

I'll provide a preview of the Seahawks-Raiders similar to the previews for the rest of the preseason games, as well as some post game comments on Friday. I will also take one last stab at predicting the 53-man roster on Friday night. The game might offer some more clues or even complicate things. It got murky last year when Leonard Weaver and Mike Green were injured right before the final cutdown.

After that, I'll turn my attention to what the team needs to do to be successful this season, and more immediately, what they need to do to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Current versions of the easy-to-print Seahawks Numerical Roster and the full Seahawks 35-Category Roster are available, and include the latest roster moves and current injuries.

The numerical roster is now split into offense on one side with defense and special teams on the other.

The 35-category roster now includes the additional category of practice squad eligibility. Ben Joppru is listed as being eligible. It is unclear if Joppru actually meets the criteria of "free agent players who were on the Active List for fewer than nine regular season games during their only Accrued Season(s)." He has never appeared on the Active List for more than nine games, but he may not be considered a free agent because he was on the Seahawks roster for 5 games last year (which constitutes a credited season, but not an accrued season).
It was initially reported here, and elsewhere, that C.J. Wallace was one of the 12 players released. That is not the case. The 12th player released was QB Erik Meyer. The mix-up appears to be that C.J. Wallace was told that he wasn't likely to make the 53-man roster, but was one of the players they were considering for the practice squad. I am not sure if I should believe that explanation (as I was told it is partially conjecture), but at least it makes sense why several people thought he was released, and it also matches up with why it was reported that C.J. Wallace appeared solemn yesterday. He might also just be dealing with a personal issue and it gave people the wrong impression.

Monday, August 27, 2007

Given the developments in the gave against the Minnesota Vikings, and the latest round of cuts, below is an updated best guess on the final 53-man roster. The only thing that changed from the last installment was some minor shuffling on the potential practice squad guys.

Offense (25)
QB (3) - Matt Hasselbeck, Seneca Wallace, David Greene
HB/FB (5) - Shaun Alexander, Maurice Morris, Mack Strong, Leonard Weaver, Josh Parry
WR (5) - Deion Branch, DJ Hackett, Nate Burleson, Bobby Engram, Ben Obomanu
TE (3) - Marcus Pollard, Will Heller, Bennie Joppru
OL (9) - Walter Jones, Sean Locklear, Chris Spencer, Rob Sims, Chris Gray, Ray Willis, Tom Ashworth, Mansfield Wrotto, Floyd Womack

Defense (25)
DE (4) - Patrick Kerney, Bryce Fisher, Darryl Tapp, Baraka Atkins
DT (6) - Rocky Bernard, Chuck Darby, Marcus Tubbs, Brandon Mebane, Russell Davis, Craig Terrill
OLB (5) - Julian Peterson, Leroy Hill, Kevin Bentley, Lance Laury, Will Herring
ILB (2) - Lofa Tatupu, Niko Koutouvides
S (4) - Deon Grant, Brian Russell, Michael Boulware, Mike Green
CB (4) - Marcus Trufant, Kelly Jennings, Josh Wilson, Jordan Babineaux

Special Teams (3)
K - Josh Brown
P - Ryan Plackemeier
LS - Derek Rackley

Practice Squad:
FB David Kirtman, WR Courtney Taylor, TE Leonard Stephens, C Pat Ross, OG Steve Vallos, DE Nu'u Tafisi, CB Kevin Hobbs, S C.J. Wallace
These are the 11 players that were not at practice on Monday and are assumed to be cut:

RB A.J. Harris
WR Chris Jones
WR Robert Ortiz
TE Andy Stokes
C Austin King
OG Jason Murphy
OT Jonathan Alston

LB Marcus Rucker
CB Dennis Davis
S Patrick Ghee

K Kurt Smith

No real surprises there. Maybe Chris Jones, only because he played so early in the last game, but maybe they are just giving him a shot at making another roster. I kind of forgot about Jonathan Alston. He had been marginalized in practice and the games since Floyd Womack was back and playing LT, and Ray Willis moved back to tackle with Walter Jones out.

I am also a little surprised that the team is still carrying 8 DTs at this point. At this time last year they were already down to the 5 that made the final roster, including Marcus Tubbs and Russell Davis who were both not at 100%. DE Chris Cooper was lining up at DT in practice, but including him, that only made 6 DTs at this time last year.

It remains to be seen if Harris getting cut provides us any information. I said, "If the team does cut Harris on Tuesday, then it might be a signal that they have decided to go with Marquis Weeks over Josh Parry. Or it could just mean they don't think Harris is even good enough for the practice squad." I am currently leaning toward the latter. I would be less surprised to see David Kirtman beat out Parry. He has been picking it up on special teams recently.
The Seahawks secondary is understandably a big point of interest after some suspect play last year. The injuries to Jordan Babineaux, and potentially Kelly Jennings, only intensify the intrigue. The severity of those injuries will have a lot to do with the decisions the Seahawks make on September 1st.

If everyone was healthy, then the situation is pretty straightforward. The team would keep these four cornerbacks and four safeties:

CB (4) - Marcus Trufant, Kelly Jennings, Josh Wilson, Jordan Babineaux
S (4) - Deon Grant, Brian Russell, Mike Green, Michael Boulware

There has been some speculation that Michael Boulware could be in jeopardy of losing his roster spot to C.J. Wallace. Don’t bet on it. Boulware didn’t look that great against Minnesota, but he did come in and play as the nickel LB with the starters. Wallace is an alright player, and better than alright on special teams, but he isn’t so valuable that he couldn’t be stashed on the practice squad.

If it looks like Jennings and Babineaux won’t be ready for the opener, then the team will be forced to keep 5 CBs, at least until one of them comes back. However, that 5th guy might not play very much, except on special teams. In that case, it could be Wallace that makes the team over a 5th CB, but I doubt it.

Let’s take a look at what the starting secondary might look like without Jennings and Babineaux:
CB1 Marcus Trufant, CB2 Josh Wilson, FS Brian Russell, and SS Deon Grant

No big surprises there. Now let’s take a look at what the nickel package might look like without Jennings and Babineaux:
CB1 Marcus Trufant, CB2 Josh Wilson, CB3 Deon Grant, FS Brian Russell, and SS Mike Green, NLB Michael Boulware.

Given the other options at corner (Pete Hunter, Kevin Hobbs, and DeJuan Groce), that seems like a better option for the Seahawks. Deon Grant is accustomed to lining up over the slot receiver in man-to-man coverage. He did that quite a bit in Jacksonville. Mike Green is also pretty solid against the pass. He may have had some trouble in coverage as a FS, but he would be a good coverage player for a SS. The same goes for Michael Boulware as the nickel linebacker. That is a pretty solid group of six defensive backs on the field in the nickel package.

I would feel differently if I thought more of Hunter, Hobbs, or Groce. Hunter and Groce appear capable of playing consistently mediocre. That is what you expect from an emergency fill-in. My money would be on Hunter winning that role if it looks like they need a 5th CB for a few weeks, but it could easily be Groce instead. I like Hobbs the best of the three, but he would likely make some really good plays and completely blow others. The consistency just isn’t there yet.

Sunday, August 26, 2007

The Seahawks are at the current roster limit of 80 players and are carrying an additional 7 exempt players for a total of 87 guys. They need to cut 12 of them to get down to 75 on Tuesday (the exempt players start to count). The cuts themselves are fairly unimportant. Do you really care if they cut Cameron Jensen or Marcus Rucker on Tuesday or Saturday?

However, this first round of cuts could reveal some of what the team is thinking about the guys that remain on the roster. The team usually cuts one or two “unexpected” players to give them a chance to catch on with another team, and that might tell us that a bubble player at the same position has won a spot on the roster. It also gives us an idea of who we are likely to see on the practice squad.

The Seahawks also needs to field a team to play the Raiders on Thursday, while resting anyone important, so that figures into these cuts as well. Things haven't changed all that much in the past two weeks from my preliminary guess on first cuts:
QB Erik Meyer, RB A.J. Harris, WR Robert Ortiz, TE Ben Joppru, C Austin King, OG Jason Murphy, DT Eric Taylor, CB Dennis Davis, CB Wally Dada, K Kurt Smith, and P Kyle Stringer. And another WR (Chris Jones, Jordan Kent, or Joe Fernandez).
That guess was made when P Kyle Stringer was still on the team, and I had incorrectly assumed TE Ben Joppru would miss the rest of the preseason with his “serious” injuries. Other than that, there aren’t a lot of changes.
=> Read more!:

QB Erik Meyer, WR Robert Ortiz, C Austin King, OG Jason Murphy, DT Eric Taylor, CB Dennis Davis, CB Wally Dada, K Kurt Smith all still make my list. As does either WR Jordan Kent or WR Joe Fernandez, or maybe even both. I’ll add TE Andy Stokes, who essentially replaces P Kyle Stringer on the list. That gives me 10-11 players. The other players in danger would be S Patrick Ghee, LB Marcus Rucker, LB Cameron Jensen, and RB A.J. Harris (also on my preliminary list). DT Marcus Green had an undisclosed injury last week, and was then passed over in terms of playing time by DT Eric Taylor, so he might be on the chopping block as well.

I assume they will keep at least one of the two linebackers (Rucker and Jensen) just to have bodies to play on Thursday. It is hard to say which one. Jensen has been ahead on the depth chart all camp, but Rucker played on Saturday. Maybe that was his one chance, but he seemed to play alright and was part of that goal line stand. He might have won the opportunity to play against Oakland, or maybe even a spot on the practice squad.

On the other hand, although I am sure Mike Holmgren didn’t have anyone specific in mind, he could have easily been talking about Rucker when he said, “We’ll have some tough decisions to make now starting this evening, because we have to release some fellows, and then we have to release some more next week. If that was their last play in a Seattle uniform, they can feel pretty good about it, because it was a good goal line stand.”

An idea that occurred to me just recently is that the team may elect to keep A.J. Harris on the practice squad. I don't really have an impression on him one way or another, but I still think the Seahawks are going to go with:

Shaun Alexander, Maurice Morris, Mack Strong, Leonard Weaver, and Josh Parry

Marquis Weeks is not practice squad eligible, and they would probably like to have a third true HB on the practice squad. The only guy that could be is A.J. Harris. If the team does cut Harris on Tuesday, then it might be a signal that they have decided to go with Marquis Weeks over Josh Parry. Or it could just mean they don't think Harris is even good enough for the practice squad.

If that is the case and the Seahawks not keep Weeks on the active roster, then Leonard Weaver would be the only other option at HB if Shaun Alexander and Maurice Morris were both injured. Weeks might also be available as a street free agent. He was on the active roster for just enough games last year that no other team can sign him to their practice squad either.

If I had to make a list of the guys most certain to be cut, it would be these nine:
QB Erik Meyer
WR Joe Fernandez
WR Robert Ortiz
TE Andy Stokes
C Austin King
OG Jason Murphy
CB Dennis Davis
CB Wally Dada
K Kurt Smith

The other three should come from:
RB A.J. Harris
RB Marquis Weeks
WR Jordan Kent
LB Marcus Rucker
LB Cameron Jensen
DE Brandon Green
DT Eric Taylor
DT Marcus Green
S Patrick Ghee

And I think it is quite likely that two of them will be a LB and a DT, assuming no surprises. I only list Marcus Green because of his apparent injury problems (which is the same reason why Eric Taylor doesn't show up with the first nine). And Weeks or Brandon Green could be released to give them time to catch on with another team.

Patrick Ghee seems like an alright player, but I think the team has enough safeties to play on Thursday without him. If they keep a safety on the practice squad, then it would probably be C.J. Wallace. Jordan Kent is on this list because he just isn't very good.

Note: QB Travis Lulay and DT Lynn McGruder could technically be included because they are on the exempt/NFLEL injured list. Neither have been in camp. I assume the team will cut both of those players as well. If they are still injured, then they will need to reach an injury settlement if that haven't done so already. Either way, these players will not count toward the 75 roster spots allowed.
Matt Hasselbeck and the rest of the first team offense played well, especially Marcus Pollard. Shaun Alexander ran hard a few times and looks ready to go. The offensive line did a good job of keeping pressure off of Hasselbeck. Seneca Wallace also bounced back with a nice game, including a strike to emerging talent Ben Obomanu.

Baraka Atkins is where the team hoped he would be at this point in time when they drafted him. It didn’t look like he was progressing that fast during the first half of camp, but he kicked it up a notch and looks solid now.

Pete Hunter outplayed DeJuan Groce, if that is even relevant. Groce had the ball thrown at him quite a bit, and was getting beat. He would have looked bad if Brooks Bollinger could throw an accurate pass. Kevin Hobbs had his ups and downs, but he looks as good as or better than Groce and Hunter. He just isn’t as consistent.

If the team needs a 5th CB for a few games to start the season, then it would probably be Hunter, but Hobbs looks like a guy that would be more valuable in the long run. As long Kelly Jennings and Jordan Babineaux are good to go at the start of the season, then expect the team to go with 4 CBs and stash Hobbs on the practice squad.

(This is a follow-up to What to Watch For: Vikings vs. Seahawks)
1) Linebackers
Sorry, Mike Holmgren. I don’t believe you. Lofa Tatupu, Julian Peterson, Leroy Hill, Kevin Bentley, Niko Koutouvides, Lance Laury, and Will Herring are all going to make the Seahawks active roster. I count seven. Herring missed a tackle, but had that interception in the endzone. He is too good to let go. Laury isn’t a starter-caliber LB, but he is a decent reserve and a good special teams player. The same goes for Koutouvides. And you really need 7 LBs on an NFL roster anyway. The only way a team would go with 6 LBs is if they didn’t have 7 guys talented enough to play in the NFL, and that isn’t the case in Seattle.

2) Darryl Tapp vs. Bryce Fisher
Darryl Tapp wasn’t nearly as effective going against Minnesota’s first-stringers as he has been against the backups on other teams. On the other hand, Bryce Fisher didn’t appear to benefit from playing against the second team guys, the way Tapp did in Green Bay and San Diego. This is a situation to watch, but Tapp and Fisher are both going to play a lot this year.

Tapp will get more snaps because he is a better situational pass-rusher, and whether or not he starts ahead of Fisher depends on his ability to play the run. The Seahawks are in good shape this year with the combination of the two opposite Patrick Kerney. The real question is if Tapp is going to take a big enough step forward to be a full-time starter in 2008 when Fisher might not be around, or be as good. Fisher’s contract runs through 2008, and he is scheduled to make $2.6 million next year.

3) Kelly Jennings and Josh Wilson
Kelly Jennings played well while he was in there. It was Marcus Trufant getting all of the balls thrown in his direction. That is how Bobby Wade managed 5 catches for 85 yards. It isn’t time to hit the panic button, but Trufant needs to do more than just play tight coverage on completed passes. He also let the receiver get behind him to the outside on at least one play. That happened to Trufant too often last year, and it had nothing to do with the safeties. The one concern about Jennings is that he bruised his leg in this game. The MRI came back negative, so it sounds like he will still be ready to play against Tampa Bay.

Josh Wilson looked good returning kickoffs again. He didn’t fumble and didn’t make the cutbacks that Mike Holmgren said would eventually lead to fumbles. The starting kickoff return job still belongs to Nate Burleson, but Wilson looks like a great second option if Burleson is injured or injuries deplete the rest of the receiving corps. Wilson looks ready to be the nickel corner, and he should be able to step in and do an adequate job as a starter if Jennings can’t go.

4) Tight Ends
Bennie Joppru sealed his spot on the roster. Joppru came in the game almost immediately when the team when with a two-tight end set in the redzone during the second possession. He also played on basically all of the special teams units, and is the Seahawks emergency option at long snapper. Joe Newton continued to do nothing. Newton might have a spot on the practice squad if the team has given up on Leonard Stephens because of his injury, but even that doesn't seem too likely.

5) Wide Receiver Battles
Nate Burleson is really pushing D.J. Hackett to start at split end. Both players have had great camps, but Hackett started out as the starter, so he will probably retain that role for the time being. Burleson has been laying down some great blocks, which could swing things in his favor. His role as a return man doesn’t preclude him from starting, but it might influence a very close race. Burleson and Hackett will probably both start some games, and will be on the field at the same time in many of the 3-wide and 4-wide sets the Seahawks will frequently employ this year.

Courtney Taylor did not play, which means he doesn’t really have a chance to grab a roster spot. He still figures to be in the mix for a spot on the practice squad. That battle appears to be down to Taylor, Chris Jones, and Logan Payne. Surprisingly, Chris Jones was the 5th/6th receiver off the bench against the Vikings (he came in with Ben Obomanu). Jones has had a few nice practices after moving his way up the depth chart.

If the Seahawks keep only one receiver on the practice squad, then it would probably be Taylor, assuming he plays against the Raiders and looks like he is back to normal. It is hard to get a read on whether they would go with Jones or Payne as the second practice squad receiver, if there is one. Payne has been more consistent throughout camp, while Jones has really shined at times, but also disappeared at others. Jones first tried out with the team last November and was signed in January. His extra time with the team might give him an advantage.

6) Offensive Line
Floyd Womack did a good job at left tackle in the second half. It was enough to solidify his spot on the roster, assuming he doesn’t get hurt before the final cuts. If the team keeps another offensive lineman, then it would have to be as a 10th guy, and it would be C Pat Ross. However, he appears to be headed back to the practice squad for another season.

7) Running Backs
I don't think Leonard Weaver had such a bad game. You never want to get called for holding, but it was on a running play, which hasn’t been a problem for him. He actually dominated the guy he was blocking, but made the mistake of turning and pushing him down to the ground. It wasn't a true "hold" because he was getting beat in pass protection, which would have been more of a concern.

The fumble is inexcusable, but aren’t they all? He appeared to be pushing to make something happen after the illegal shift a few plays earlier. Marquis Weeks is notorious for lining up in the wrong place during the preseason and fumbling a lot, so it isn’t like Weaver is going to lose his spot to him on those grounds.

And a few nice runs by Marquis Weeks with less than three minutes to go against nobodies isn’t going to change my opinion of the running back situation. The team could always count on Weeks as the 3rd RB off the practice squad in the past, so maybe that changes because he is no longer eligible and he gets elevated to the active roster. But then again, they might just keep A.J. Harris in that role in case of injuries. He looks like an alright practice squad running back.

The Seahawks know what they have in Josh Parry, so that could be why he isn't getting that much playing time at fullback, especially when they need to spend some time vetting Leonard Weaver. Parry still plays a lot on all of the coverage and return units.

My best guess at this point in time is still that Weaver and Parry make the team, and I think they will probably stick A.J. Harris on the practice squad. I could even see them cutting Weeks on Tuesday so he has a chance to catch on with another team.

Saturday, August 25, 2007

Current versions of the easy-to-print Seahawks Numerical Roster and the full Seahawks 34-Category Roster are available, and include the latest roster moves and current injuries.

1) Linebackers
I’ll start off by saying I think the Seahawks will still keep 7 LBs, despite the sound byte from Mike Holmgren this week saying he envisions keeping six. That being said, it is at least worth watching. It will be Lance Laury (50), Will Herring (54), or Niko Koutouvides (53) that gets left off the roster if the Seahawks go with only 6 LBs. That few linebackers makes no sense though, especially with Julian Peterson nursing a sore knee, the injury problems that plague Leroy Hill, and the exceptional play of the three guys potentially on the chopping block.

2) Darryl Tapp vs. Bryce Fisher
I’ve been saying Darryl Tapp (55) would win the starting job from Bryce Fisher (94) by the end of September for months now. It looks like it might be by the end of August. It isn’t that important because no matter what happens, Tapp and Fisher (and the entire defensive line) were going to rotate quite a bit. And the Seahawks like to go with 3 DEs and move Fisher inside on third downs, so Tapp was also always going to be in there in third-down pass-rush situations. It just helps that it is also his forte.

The most interesting thing is that Darryl Tapp appears to be on his way to being a starting caliber DE, if he hasn’t already arrived. That is very important for the future with Patrick Kerney and Bryce Fisher already on the wrong side of 30. It would also be a relief to Seahawks fans to finally have some home grown talent at that trouble spot, which just so happens to be one of the five most important positions in football. When was the last time the Seahawks drafted a DE worth a stitch? I’ll save you some time: 1991, Michael Sinclair.

3) Kelly Jennings and Josh Wilson
Kelly Jennings (21) has looked like a starting CB so far, but he should get an entire half to tune up and get ready for the regular season. The bigger concern is Josh Wilson (26). Now is the time he needs to prove he is ready to be the nickel corner, especially with Jordan Babineaux still not practicing. No more, "he has until the end of camp to develop." Camp is over.

4) Tight Ends
Joe Newton (46) has yet to show anything when playing at full speed. Leonard Stephens is going to miss this game with his lingering sprained ankle, which gives Bennie Joppru (47) a chance to secure a spot on the roster. Joppru just needs to avoid bad drops and fumbles (something he didn’t do against Green Bay), and stay healthy. It would take an injury or really poor effort from Joppru combined with Newton stepping up and showing something he hasn’t to this point for things to change at tight end. Will Heller (85) is back from his ankle injury, but expect his time to be limited.

5) Wide Receiver Battles
Nate Burleson (81) and D.J. Hackett (18) are in a battle for the starting split end spot. The smart money is on Hackett, even though Burleson has been playing well. The Seahawks will run a lot of 3-wide and 4-wide sets this year, so the real impact could be to the playing time of Bobby Engram (84), and that is a good thing. Engram is a great safety valve, but he isn’t going to be around forever. A progressive phasing out in favor of the younger receivers is ideal for the future.

The other battle is for the practice squad. Courtney Taylor (86) may play, and if he does, then he could really mix things up. Taylor has a chance to make the active roster if he can play well in two preseason games. However, keeping a 6th receiver at the cost of a linebacker or one of the defensive tackles doesn’t make much sense. Taylor should at least have a spot on the practice squad though.

That means that there might not even be a spot on the practice squad for another receiver. If there is one, then it comes down to Logan Payne (19), Joe Fernandez (17), Chris Jones (16), and Jordan Kent (82). Right now, Logan Payne is the only player that has shown enough to warrant consideration.

6) Offensive Line
It is put up or shut up time for Floyd Womack (77). He is either healthy or not. If he isn’t healthy, then he has to go. If he is, then he needs to be better right now than the other linemen fighting for a roster spot, or he has to go. Mike Holmgren can influence what Tim Ruskell does, and he better not waste his lobbying capital on Womack and forsake Craig Terrill. Womack needs to earn his roster spot, and we will see if he is up to it tonight.

With Ray Willis (74) starting at RT, it looks like C Pat Ross (60) would be Womack's biggest contender for the final offensive line spot. Womack’s return appears to be robbing Jonathan Alston (73) of the chance to show he can play LT as good or better than anyone else on the roster after Jones and Locklear.

7) Running Backs
There has been some reactionary fervor over the certainty at running back after some poor performances in Green Bay, but things are the same as they have been all camp. Obviously, Shaun Alexander, Maurice Morris, and Mack Strong have spots on the roster. And so does Leonard Weaver (43). It is really a question of if his poor pass blocking will limit the expansive role the team had envisioned for him. The concerns over Weaver’s blocking and some miscues by Marquis Weeks only solidified Josh Parry (49) as the final back on the roster.

Friday, August 24, 2007

I made a reference in the last post that the team could do something unorthodox, like keeping 2 QBs or 2 TEs to make room for Courtney Taylor. There has been a trend for a few NFL teams each year to go with only two quarterbacks on the active roster. A full 15% of NFL teams went with two quarterbacks in 2003: Buffalo, Denver, Indianapolis, San Diego, and Washington. Two more teams (Atlanta and Miami) waited out at least the first quarter of the season with only two healthy quarterbacks. Since then, I am aware of at least Dallas and Baltimore also going with only two quarterbacks during certain years. It isn't all that common, but it happens every year.

The Seahawks could do that this year, but they would need someone that could take snaps in an emergency. Safety Brian Russell played some QB in college, so he could do it in a pinch to close out a game if Matt Hasselbeck and Seneca Wallace were both knocked out in a single game.

That is what a team needs if they do go with 2 QBs. Dallas had WR Patrick Crayton as the emergency QB when they only went with 2 QBs in the past. I don't see Tim Ruskell as a 2-QB guy. However, I do think that would be more likely than the team keeping Derek Devine on the active roster.

I think the real danger David Greene is in isn't getting "beat out" for the final spot by Derek Devine, but rather "losing out" and proving he, like Devine, is also not worthy of a roster spot. If the Seahawks thinks Greene is on that level, then it would probably make the most sense to only go with 2 QBs, keep Devine on the practice squad, have Russell be the emergency 3rd QB, and free up a roster spot. I don't think that will happen, but it makes some sense depending on how Ruskell feels about Greene.

In 2003, the Redskins only went with two quarterbacks, and Vinny Cerrato, Vice President of Football Operations, said (as quoted by Len Pasquarelli):
Around the league, the typical No. 3 quarterback is a younger guy you are developing for down the road, and you hope you don't have to use him. Hey, you can get that younger guy the same number of snaps on the practice squad as you can on the (active) roster...if you've got a third quarterback on your practice squad, someone who was with you in camp, he's probably going to be of more immediate help anyway than some guy you just sign off the street. As long as you're backstopped by having a third guy on your practice squad, I don't see the danger of going with only two on the active roster.
So, there is a point of view where it makes sense to only keep 2 QBs. I am not sure I can really see Tim Ruskell adopting that point of view though. If he is going to do something out of the ordinary, then I find it more believable that he would opt for 2 TEs, and then try to stash 2 of the 3 guys fighting for that last spot on the practice squad. As noted before, I believe Bennie Joppru and Leonard Stephens are both (barely) still eligible.

Or the team could decided that Floyd Womack isn't worth a roster spot, but the offensive linemen that would take his place could safely be stashed on the practice squad. The Seahawks could potentially keep C Pat Ross and OT Jonathan Alston on the practice squad, and feel like they had their bases covered with respect to the offensive line.
It looks like Courtney Taylor is going to play on Saturday, and that changes my perspective quite a bit. Taylor was the only receiver I ever saw as having a real chance to push the team to keep 6 receivers. If he can play in two preseason games, then he might be able to challenge for a roster spot even after missing all that time with injury.

If he doesn't play on Saturday, then he only has a couple of days of practice next week and the Raiders game to show his stuff. I stand by my previous statement that he looked as good as Ben Obomanu before he suffered that knee injury. If Taylor does end up winning a roster spot, then at whose expense does it come?

Do we believe Mike Holmgren when says he envisions keeping only six linebackers? If that is truly the case, then he must be envisioning keeping an "extra" guy at another position, and the most likely candidate appears to be Courtney Taylor as the sixth wide receiver.

However, it doesn't seem like getting rid of one of the linebackers makes sense to open up that spot. The more logical choice would be to go with only 5 DTs. I would like to see Courtney Taylor make the team, but I just don't see where that spot comes from. It seems like it would be from either Craig Terrill or Will Herring, and I don't find that too appealing.

Maybe the Seahawks end up doing something abnormal, like only going with 2 QBs or 2 TEs. Or they get rid of Floyd Womack, but keep Pat Ross and Jonathan Alston on the practice squad to make up for it. As bad as it sounds, an injury could also open up a roster spot.
Despite some poor play, the Seahawks roster still appears to be headed in basically the same direction. The biggest change in the probably with the tight ends. I had penciled Leonard Stephens in for a roster spot when it looked like Bennie Joppru was going to be out for a long time. And Stephens was completely healthy. However, Joppru missed less than two weeks with his leg injuries, while Stephens and Will Heller remained sidelined for over two weeks with sprained ankles.

That not only opened the door for Joppru, but also gave Joe Newton a chance to get many more reps than he had been earning. Three tight ends presumably ahead of him were all out for an entire week at one point. Even so, Joe Newton still looks more like a practice squad candidate at this point.

The battle for the final tight end spot likely comes down to Joppru vs. Stephens. It looked that way back on August 4th during the Seahawks Scrimmage, until Joppru was forced out of the game and finished the day on crutches. Stephens started to solidify a lead in that race until he was slowed by an injury of his own on August 10th that has kept him out for going on two weeks. And Joppru's speedy recovery has given him a chance to catch Stephens and even move ahead of him. Injuries have definitely greatly influenced what is going on at tight end.

The most appealing scenario now appears to be keeping Joppru (a former 2nd round pick) on the active roster, and stashing Leonard Stephens on the practice squad if possible. If I am interpreting the new CBA correctly, Stephens is eligible for one more practice squad season. He was eligible for the practice squad last year, when means he meets the basic requirements to be practice squad eligible.

You are only allowed to be on a practice squad for two years, and he was previously on the practice squad in Detroit for a year as well. However, the new CBA includes the following clause: "An otherwise eligible player may be a practice squad player for a third season only if the Club by which he is employed that season has at least 53 players on its Active/Inactive List during the entire period of his employment."

Bennie Joppru also appears to be practice squad eligible. Although Joppru has several accrued seasons in the NFL, he has never been on the active list for more than five games in any of those seasons. The new CBA also allows for "free agent players who were on the Active List for fewer than nine regular season games during their only Accrued Season(s)" to be practice squad players. And Joppru didn't accrue a season with the Seahawks last year because he was only on the active roster for five regular season games. It takes six to earn an accrued season.

So, it appears that both Stephens and Joppru would be eligible for the practice squad, even if they are walking a fine line on along the eligibility requirements. A healthy Joppru would likely garner more interest from other teams because he is a former 2nd round draft pick that has just had terrible luck with injuries, while Stephens has always been a fringe player splitting time between practice squads and NFL Europe.

Injuries are going to continue to influence this situation, but Joppru appears to be headed for the active roster as long as he can stay healthy over the next eight days. Leonard Stephens is still out and won't play against the Vikings. That leaves him five days starting Monday to prove his case, assuming he is back at practice on the 27th. The team also has to get ready for the game against the Raiders on Thursday and training camp is over, so Stephens is looking at a max of three practices and the most meaningless preseason game as his only opportunities.

David Greene and Floyd Womack are still on shaky ground, especially after the Green Bay game, but it would still take quite a bit for anyone to take away their roster spots. Pat Ross probably has the best chance of grabbing a spot from Womack, but that wouldn't make any sense if he could be safely stashed on the practice squad.

Offense (25)
QB (3) - Matt Hasselbeck, Seneca Wallace, David Greene
HB/FB (5) - Shaun Alexander, Maurice Morris, Mack Strong, Leonard Weaver, Josh Parry
WR (5) - Deion Branch, DJ Hackett, Nate Burleson, Bobby Engram, Ben Obomanu
TE (3) - Marcus Pollard, Will Heller, Bennie Joppru
OL (9) - Walter Jones, Sean Locklear, Chris Spencer, Rob Sims, Chris Gray, Ray Willis, Tom Ashworth, Mansfield Wrotto, Floyd Womack

Defense (25)
DE (4) - Patrick Kerney, Bryce Fisher, Darryl Tapp, Baraka Atkins
DT (6) - Rocky Bernard, Chuck Darby, Marcus Tubbs, Brandon Mebane, Russell Davis, Craig Terrill
OLB (5) - Julian Peterson, Leroy Hill, Kevin Bentley, Lance Laury, Will Herring
ILB (2) - Lofa Tatupu, Niko Koutouvides
S (4) - Deon Grant, Brian Russell, Michael Boulware, Mike Green
CB (4) - Marcus Trufant, Kelly Jennings, Josh Wilson, Jordan Babineaux

Special Teams (3)
K - Josh Brown
P - Ryan Plackemeier
LS - Derek Rackley

Practice Squad:
WR Courtney Taylor, WR Logan Payne, TE Leonard Stephens, C Pat Ross, OT Jonathan Alston, CB Kevin Hobbs, LB Cameron Jensen, S C.J. Wallace, DE Nu'u Tafisi

The practice squad list includes 9 players, one more than the 8 allowed, but these look like the guys most likely to wind up with this unit. Remember, one or more of them could potentially be signed by another team. You could also have a scenario where Courtney Taylor (or one of the others) makes the active roster in the place of someone that isn't practice squad eligible. Or you could have Taylor taking a spot away from Will Herring. Then it would be tough to know if Herring would clear waivers of not.

Thursday, August 23, 2007

The real Seneca Wallace contract numbers are finally available. It looks like the initial reports got a few things correct. The deal is an extension for 3 more years with $5.4 million in new money. It would normally be reported as a 4-year, $6.2 million deal, and Adam Shefter didn't get the signing bonus right, but he was right about the $400,000 roster bonus next March.
Contract Details
$1.6 million signing bonus
2007: $595,000
2008: $605,000 (+ $400,000 roster bonus due 3/15)
2009: $1.5 million
2010: $1.5 million

Salary Cap Numbers
2007: $995,000
2008: $1.405 million
2009: $1.9 million
2010: $1.9 million

Actual compensation if cut following each year
2007: An extra $1.4 million for nothing
2008: $2.4 million for one more year
2009: $3.9 million for two more years ($1.95 million per year)
2010: $5.4 million for three more years ($1.8 million per year)
Those numbers basically cement Seneca Wallace at the #2 QB in Seattle as long as he stays on the roster. The most important thing to look at is his actual compensation. You don't pay a guy $2 million a year to be a #3 QB. It also leaves the team with relatively little money to spend on another QB, and Matt Hasselbeck will probably get a new deal following the 2009 season.

If he is still performing at a high level, then I doubt Hasselbeck will want to play out the final year of his contract for $5.75 million, especially with the money Trent Green is getting this year. Hasselbeck will only be 33 in 2009. Trent Green is 37.

The door is still open to bring in another veteran quarterback because the Seahawks can now move Seneca Wallace to another position without worrying that it might discourage him from re-signing with team. Depending on how things shake out with the receivers, Wallace could become primarily a receiver, but also the third string quarterback.

That scenario would require several conditions to be met. First, the team would need to bring in someone capable of being a legitimate #2 QB. David Greene's upper limit appears to be as a #2b option, which would only free up Wallace to play a handful of plays at receiver or return a few punts. With a legitimate #2 that the Seahawks felt comfortable starting if they had to, then Wallace could move to receiver full-time.

That only makes sense on a roster that really needs another receiver. That could very well be the case if Bobby Engram retires and D.J. Hackett isn't re-signed. But Deion Branch and Nate Burleson are both young and locked up. Ben Obomanu is an emerging talent. I wouldn't count out Courtney Taylor as a contributor in 2008 either. And Engram might have another season after this one, even if it is as the #5 receiver.

So, all of that (and my crystal ball) tells me that the Seahawks will most likely go after another 3rd or 4th round QB in the draft. Maybe in 2008, but maybe not until 2009. It could be one more year of David Greene, especially if Hackett re-signs, Engram doesn't retire, or Courtney Taylor looks like Ben Obomanu, the sequel. Greene playing like he did last preseason instead of like he did against Green Bay wouldn't hurt either.

That leaves Seneca Wallace as the #2 QB behind Matt Hasselbeck until the team can draft a QB and develop that guy into a legitimate #2. Then Wallace could move to be a full-time receiver, while also holding down the #3 QB spot. If you assume Hasselbeck and Wallace stay with the Seahawks after 2010, then that could be a good situation for the next five or six years.

Fast forward to 2013. Once Hasselbeck retires, the young QB becomes the starter, and Wallace could always move back to the #2 QB spot, and would be an experienced veteran at that point. He would also be 33 years old and could extend his career several years as a backup QB.

If everything plays out like that, then I should start a psychic hotline. The specifics of what actually happens aren't that important, but those musings are illustrative of the options the Seahawks have on the table. The next QB to stick in Seattle will most likely be a 3rd or 4th rounder taken in 2008 or 2009. It doesn't make much sense to use a higher pick if the team feels Hasselbeck will be around for at least another 3 years, and too many things need to happen for it to make sense to bring in another #2 and move Wallace to receiver, at least until after 2008.

Tuesday, August 21, 2007

Clare Farnsworth at the Seattle PI reported some detailed and interesting information on the defensive line rotation in practice today that is exactly in line with what I discussed following the Seahawks-Packers game.
No. 1 line – Patrick Kerney, Rocky Bernard, Darby/Tubbs and Tapp.
No. 2 line – Atkins, Craig Terrill, Mebane and Fisher.
No. 3 line – Nu'u Tafisi, Eric Taylor, Russell Davis and Brandon Green.
Darryl Tapp worked with the first team ahead of Bryce Fisher. It looks like I might have been 10 days ahead of myself when I said I expected that to happen in September. I really meant by the end of September, and in a real game (not just in practice or the preseason). Even it if was just practice, it is a clear indication that we should expect to see Darryl Tapp starting at some point this season, and getting more snaps this year than Bryce Fisher. That is hardly news to anyone that has been reading this blog (or watching the team for that matter).

It also appears that Baraka Atkins has done enough to warrant moving ahead of Brandon Green on the depth chart. That is bad news for Brandon Green, and it doesn't look like he will make the team (although that shouldn't come as a surprise either). His only shot now is probably an injury, as Craig Terrill is back on the field and playing pretty well. Green is ostensibly 11th on the depth chart of defensive linemen, and the team isn't going to keep more than 10.

Brandon Mebane also made his way up the depth chart to get action with the second team defensive tackles. He was in there with Craig Terrill, and Russell Davis moved back to work with the third team. That isn't so significant, except that Mebane is getting his due.

And that was with Marcus Tubbs rotating in for Chuck Darby with the first team. The rotation at defensive tackle is always going to be confusing. The Seahawks have three starter caliber players in Tubbs, Darby, and Rocky Bernard. And then it appears that Terrill, Mebane, and Davis are all second string caliber guys at this point. The problem is that gives you six guys for four spots.

The rotation during the season isn't that cut-and-dried. Terrill will likely come in mainly on third down, and Davis is a first and second down guy. Tubbs is also a first and second down player, and he will have his snaps limited, at least initially. The combination of Darby and Bernard isn't very tough against the run, so depending on the opponent, Mebane or Davis would work with the first team when Tubbs isn't healthy. And Brandon Mebane is proving so versatile that he can be counted on to be effective against the pass and the run.

DT Marcus Green sat out practice with an undisclosed injury. He was working ahead of even Brandon Mebane in the Chargers game. That changed against the Packers and he had dropped behind even Eric Taylor, at least in terms of playing time in that one game. When healthy, Marcus Green is probably the 12th best defensive linemen (7th DT) on the Seahawks. He is good enough to play in the NFL, but he has always needed two injuries to defensive tackles to make the roster.
According to Adam Schefter of NFL Network, the Seahawks signed Seneca Wallace to a three-year, $5.4 million contract. However, according to Tim Ruskell, the deal is for four years, which means Shefter was wrong. The 3-year number must have referred to additional years, but we're going to assume the rest of the details were correct. So it amounts to a three-year, $4.6 million extension over the one year and $800,000 left on his contract.

This move still indicates that Seneca Wallace is fairly entrenched as the #2 QB, but it is less certain than if the extension was for only 2 more years. The contract calls for his base salary to jump to $2 million this season. That was essentially a $1.2 million signing bonus, but the Seahawks get to count that toward the 2007 cap, which is a big advantage because they have the room.

That means Wallace is scheduled to earn $3.4 million from 2008 through 2010 combined (not including his $1.2 million de facto signing bonus). Part of that is a $400,000 roster bonus that he will receive in March. The Seahawks could theoretically cut him before then, and would only be out the $1.2 million without any future salary cap penalties. That obviously isn't their plan, but this move is relatively low-risk.

I can't see another QB signing in Seattle with Seneca Wallace on the roster making $1.533 million per year (including his signing bonus) over the next three seasons. The Seahawks gave him the $1.2 million to lock him up for 3 more years. That is low-risk, especially with no salary cap implications, but that isn't money the Seahawks want to throw away.

If they could convince someone else to sign here (or made a trade), then I guess they could move Seneca Wallace to the #3, so maybe the cash was pay off money for him to accept that, or to put him in a position where he is forced to accept that.

Matt Hasselbeck is only making $16.75 million combined in 2008 and 2009, so the total QB budget could have room for another #2 QB salary. It will only be $20.15 million total over the next 3 years between Hasselbeck and Wallace. Although Hasselbeck's signing bonus counts $3.2 million per year in 2008 and 2009.

That still means that both of them combined will only count a total of $26.55 million against the cap from 2008 through 2010. An average cap figure of $8.85 million isn't all that much for both of them when other top QBs are getting $10 million a year. At the same time, it doesn't make any sense to give a quarterback a $1.2 million signing bonus, and a total of $4.6 million in new money, just to be a #3.

The team gets the benefit of counting $1.2 million in 2007 because he signed that extension now instead of as a free agent after his season, but they are really out an extra $1.533 million a year over the next three seasons assuming Wallace is on the roster. That makes him a relatively low paid #2, but it would make him one of the highest paid #3s in the NFL.
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