Thursday, July 6, 2006

For those who do not know, KC Joyner is a writer for ESPN Insider and is known as the football scientist. He also has a book called Scientific Football with a new 2006 edition coming out soon. He watches every play of the entire year, grades every aspect on specific criteria, and then compiles all of the data into player rankings in different categories.

His analysis provides a new, interesting perspective on some things that no one else can quantify. He also uses some statistics that are better than the traditional ones. For example, he uses TYPCA (total-yards per catchable attempt) to measure receivers. This is more indicative of receiver success than yards per catch or yards per attempt because it factors in drops without penalizing a receiver for uncatchable balls thrown his way. Sometimes the statistics get to be a little too much and need to be considered in context, but Joyner definitely brings something unique to the table.

I think his statistical and meticulous approach gives him some unique insight. Maybe I appreciate it because I noted the same things, but in a recent chat session on ESPN SportsNation, Joyner pointed out two things that other writers seem to ignore. Namely, Edgerrin James and the Cardinals success depends on their offensive line and Keyshawn Johnson is not a deep threat, so he might not help things open up for Steve Smith as much as people think.

Most writers seem to focus on the signings that make news, like Edgerrin James and Keyshawn Johnson, and not pay attention to how the pieces fit together with the new teams. I think this goes for Steve Hutchinson as well. I am not underestimating him as a blocker, but the whole "poison pill" issue with his contract generated a lot of news and seemingly more emphasis on how much his loss will affect the Seahawks. If we would have simply not matched his deal, the sentiment might have been more along the lines of Minnesota overpaying for a guard, and people would not overlook the depth of the Seahawks offensive line as much.

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